Fantasy Baseball Generals

Fantasy Baseball Warfare is a great matter to a nation; it is the ground of death and of life; it is the way of survival and of destruction, and must be examined.–Sun Tzu

Game Theory and Pitch Selection

June 4th, 2007 · No Comments

It is a fundamental assumption of “real” baseball players and managers that the battle between the hitter and pitcher is a constant attempt to outwit the other. Quotes explaining this are legion. The batter expects an outside fastball in a certain situation, so the pitcher knowing that the batter expects an outside fastball […]

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Bucking Conventional Wisdom Part I–Bobby Abreu

June 4th, 2007 · No Comments

This week I wanted to focus on the hoary dictum of “buy low, sell high.” Generally this is good “advice” if we can call it that. What you are trying to do is maximize profit; and it is assumed that players will revert to form, and this assumption is the basis for […]

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Taking Stock

June 4th, 2007 · No Comments

The season is just over two months old. One third of the games have been played. Now is the best time to take a look at where your team stands: enough time has passed for a large enough “sample size” of stats to perform a meaningful analysis, but there is still enough time to make […]

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