In the process of developing a grand strategy for the Fantasy Baseball Search Expert League draft, there are a few interesting factors that must be considered. I am not sure what tack I will take yet, but readers can advise if they disagree with my propositions.
Naturally I have been giving a lot of thought […]
Entries from February 2008
Some Initial Thoughts on the Expert League Plan
February 29th, 2008 · 4 Comments
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Yes, I’m All In on Webb
February 29th, 2008 · 1 Comment
Matt defends his “mancrush” on Brandon Webb.
As Pat explained in a recent post, last Monday we participated in an online auction of the top players in an inaurgual season for a new keeper league. The second phase is a live auction on 3/9, where those obscure middle relievers and 4th outfielders will round out […]
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Latest Fanball.com Article
February 29th, 2008 · No Comments
A link to my latest Fanball.com article, and a quick summary.
Here is my latest article, discussing the general theory of unorthodox strategies. There are a few key points:
1. When attempting to do an unorthodox strategy, you should always consider how it can be countered by your more astute opponents. Expert leagues and Tout Wars are […]
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Mock Draft Central ADP Analysis: Shortstop
February 28th, 2008 · No Comments
A look at over/undervalued players at each position.
Moving on with our look at the top 250 from MDC’s ADP report as of Feb 23, we’ll check in with the shortstops. If you missed any of my previous positon articles, you can find them here: Catcher, 1st Base, and 2nd Base.
Overvalued
Derek Jeter (37th overall, 4th […]
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A Recent Unique Auction
February 28th, 2008 · 2 Comments
Matt Finkelstein and I recently participated in a somewhat unique auction. Here is the team we have so far.
Matt and I are joining a new high stakes league that is starting from scratch. The initial auction would take far too long to do in one day, so the commissioner decreed that we would start with […]
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Mock Draft Central ADP Analysis: 2nd Base
February 27th, 2008 · No Comments
A look at over/undervalued players at each position.
Next up in our stroll through MDC’s top 250 ADP report as of Feb. 23 is 2nd Base. There are a bunch of players worth mentioning so I will try to keep my comments brief and to the point. Here we go…
Overvalued
BJ Upton (23rd overall, 3rd amongst […]
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Some "Quick Hits" on Billingsley and Bonderman
February 26th, 2008 · 1 Comment
Our friends at Roto Professor are running a series of “quick hit” articles that are must reads. Here are my comments on two of them.
At Roto Professor they are running a series of “quick hit” articles. Essentially they are one or two paragraph summaries of certain intriguing players. They are well thought out, well written […]
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Attacking the "Experts"
February 26th, 2008 · 6 Comments
I read an interesting article today that dealt with forums bashing expert selections.
Here is an interesting article appropriately entitled “LMAO, He Took Santana #1 Overall.” The article points out that there is a lot of bashing of experts who publish their mock draft lists etc. On the radio show on Sunday, Todd “The […]
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Top 101 Baseball Blogs
February 26th, 2008 · No Comments
We were named one of the top 101 baseball blogs, and one of the top 17 fantasy baseball blogs, by Brock For Broglio. Given the other sites and blogs named this is a great honor, and we wanted to say thanks to the guys at Brock for Broglio!
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Mock Draft Central ADP Analysis: 1st Base
February 26th, 2008 · No Comments
A look at over/undervalued players at each position.
Up next in our run through of the Feb 23rd ADP report from Mock Draft Central is 1st Base. If you missed it, my catcher analysis can be found here. Surprisingly, I didn’t find many glaring “mistakes” at the position. However, I did find 2, and also […]
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Judging the "Family Feud"
February 25th, 2008 · No Comments
Colleagues Lenny Melnick and Paul Greco are feuding over Chris Young. I am the judge and render my verdict.
Over at Melnick and Greco Fantasy Sports Lenny and Paul have a vehement disagreement on the virtues of Chris Young. I am simplifying their respective positions below.
Plaintiff’s Case: Lenny Melnick says Young is a stud. He […]
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Total Control Drafting
February 25th, 2008 · No Comments
Lenny Melnick has a method called “Total Control Drafting.” Here are the nuts and bolts.
The Godfather of Fantasy Baseball and two time Tout Wars winner Lenny Melnick developed a method he calls “Total Control Drafting.” Details are in the link.
The basics 1. List the players that you think will be drafted.2. Put […]
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2/24 Radio Show Link
February 25th, 2008 · No Comments
Here is the 2/25 radio show. You will have the “pleasure” of hearing Todd wax poetic about glistening male American Gladiators. We also discuss our American League offensive Sleepers and Busts.
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Mock Draft Central ADP Analysis: Catcher
February 24th, 2008 · 4 Comments
A look at over/undervalued players at each position.
For those of us who have decided not to shell out the $3.99 monthly fee for Mock Draft Central, Sport Fanatics has worked out a deal with MDC to provide the average draft position for the top 250 absolutely free. Over the next week, I will take […]
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Nominate Travis Hafner in the First Round of Your Auction Draft
February 23rd, 2008 · 3 Comments
Why you might be given an opportunity to acquire Hafner at a bargain price.
A similar idea to my previous article about nominating sleepers and potentially undervalued players early, is throwing out a DH-only eligible player during the first few rounds. This year, Travis Hafner is a perfect player to use this strategy with. Not […]
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Some Interesting Analysis using PrOPS
February 22nd, 2008 · 4 Comments
David Chase at Brock for Broglio did some interesting and essential work with PrOPS.
Our friends at Brock for Broglio did some research that I found to be quite eye opening. Here is a link to the article. A similar article exists with “lucky” hitters.
Essentially the thesis of the article is that these are […]
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Backing Into a Corner and Leaving an Outlet
February 22nd, 2008 · 1 Comment
Mike’s article on his bidding war illustrates the value of leaving yourself an outlet.
In his most recent article Mike Podhorzer discussed a bidding war that occurred. Such bidding wars should be assiduously avoided if at all possible. The way to do it is to either avoid backing yourself into a corner, or […]
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Some Key Stats
February 21st, 2008 · No Comments
My friend and former colleague at The Hardball Times had a fine post on some key analytical stats.
Here is a link
Most readers are probably already familiar with many/all of these, but it is good to have a glossary in one place. Derek’s explanation of the importance of each is also useful. One […]
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Some Auction Draft Strategy
February 21st, 2008 · 5 Comments
How to spend your entire $260 budget.
I participated in my first ever mock auction draft yesterday at Fantasy Auctioneer and something happened that reminded me of such an important principle. I set up the mock as a mixed league with 12 teams, 5×5 categories, and 23 active players. It was late in the draft, with […]
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Ron Shandler Responds on the Cabrera Pick
February 21st, 2008 · 13 Comments
After reading my article, Ron emailed me with a response. There is some interesting strategy and counter-intelligence here.
I had the great pleasure to hear from Ron Shandler upon reading my article on the Cabrera pick. One thing that regular readers know is that our primary focus on this site is the strategical […]
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Sunday’s Radio Show
February 21st, 2008 · No Comments
Sunday will be the first “official” radio show (last week being a test run):
Tune in February 24 at 7pm EST for The Fantasy Baseball GURUS Show!
Join Todd Farino, Patrick DiCaprio, and RC for the first Fantasy Baseball GURUS show on February 24 at 7pm EST. We will be discussing anything and everything about […]
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More On The Draft Day Endgame (See Edits!!)
February 20th, 2008 · 5 Comments
Looking in greater detail at the draft day endgame. However, I did amend my apparent misunderstanding of my discussion with Lenny Melnick. Oops….
In my latest Fanball Owner’s Edge column I address in greater detail my view on the draft day endgame. Here are some of my thoughts:
1. The later rounds usually reflect a […]
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Ron Shandler and the Learned Minority Theory
February 19th, 2008 · 5 Comments
In a recent FSTA auction Ron Shandler drafted Miguel Cabrera with the first overall pick. Here are my thoughts.
Ron Shandler of BaseballHQ fame, in his column on the site, gave us the following nugget:
And, as for Miguel Cabrera with the first selection in Round 1, I’ll leave that for you to debate. (The […]
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PECOTA’s Collapsing Pitchers
February 19th, 2008 · 1 Comment
Here are some interesting projected “collapse” pitchers from PECOTA.
Ian Kennedy-Kennedy’s somewhat surprising 2007 (but short) debut was a bit of a mirage, per PECOTA. Kennedy comes in with a 67% chance of collapse (again it must be remembered that this is a specifically defined term in PECOTA, not a general “collapse”). PECOTA […]
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Projected Expert Mock Draft Results
February 18th, 2008 · 1 Comment
Here are the anticipated league results based on projections. Check out who is the projected winner! Here is the link; the Generals are the projected champs based on “all projections” and on “BaseballHQ” projections.
Sorry for the formatting! Hopefully you can follow it.
Starting LineupRank Draft Pos # Players Team AVG ?Batting Average HR ?Home […]
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First Radio Show Link
February 18th, 2008 · No Comments
Here is the link for my first radio show. Click on the 2/17/08 show. Feel free to comment…..
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Expert Mock Draft Results
February 18th, 2008 · No Comments
Here are the results from my recently completed expert mock draft.
Here is the draft results, in spreadsheet form, by team.
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Follow-up to Not a Sleeper: Micah Owings
February 17th, 2008 · No Comments
Some good info from John Sickels and another blogger.
In John Sickels’ ongoing series “Not a Rookie” (yes, it appears I stole my title from his site! Although I’m not totally sure, I probably subconsciously did…sorry John), he profiles Micah Owings. The key takeaway from the article is the following paragraph:
“I see him as an inning-eater […]
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Not a Sleeper: Jon Lester
February 16th, 2008 · No Comments
An analysis of popular sleeper Jon Lester.
The 3rd article in my Not a Sleeper series (article 1 can be found here, article 2 here) takes a look at Red Sox pitcher Jon Lester. A former top prospect, Lester battled back from lymphoma to return to the Sox, making for an incredible story. With Curt Schilling […]
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Comparing Two Projections and Why "Value" Is Flawed
February 15th, 2008 · 3 Comments
Some proof of the view that with the best players, value is not a sufficient criteria for a selection.
There are always some interesting items to be found when comparing the various projections/forecasts generated by the big boys in the fantasy business. I was looking over and comparing PECOTA with Ron Shandler’s BaseballHQ forecasts, […]
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