As we run up to the All Star Break it is time for all of us to make an honest assessment of our teams. We all start the season with visions of the Yoo Hoo Shower but mighty Casey still seems to strike out more times than not in Mudville, as does Adam Dunn and Mark Reynolds but that is for a different story!
So we are looking at our teams at midseason still hoping against hope that Chone Figgins will rebound, Travis Hafner has something in his bat, Victor Martinez still has the magic that made us trust our 3rd round pick on him, and Roy Oswalt isn’t as bad as he has shown. Under the guise that this may not happen, owners must have a contingency plan to push your team out of the doldrums and make a run at your league championship or at least push the upper tier to get in the money. Let’s examine some ways to get there.
If you are in the upper third of your standings it is much easier to look for holes and deficiencies and make minor adjustments via free agency or minor trades to shore up categories that you may need help in.
The mistake many owners do in this position is look at their team and think they need to make the “blockbuster trade” that will create huge buzz in your league. What they fail to realize is that Blockbuster trades are HUGE shakeups and can be just as detrimental to your team as they can be successful. I have seen teams trade themselves out of the championship because they did not want to sit tight with the solid team they drafted and traded for more so than people who were reluctant to pull the trigger in that 8 player deal. On a side note, I agree with Patrick Dicaprio about those 8 player trades; lazy way to deal and hard to decipher.
If you are in this position, concentrate on category tiers where you can move up a few points here or there with minor moves. If you are in a keeper league, move your keepers as late as possible for keepers with similar skills, or a 2 for 1 that can fill a hole without creating a vacuum in another position. Most importantly remember, a big shake UP can create a big shake DOWN.
The hardest spot in Fantasy Baseball in my opinion is to be in the second tier of the standings. Your team continues to tease you but has consistently fell short because of players with wild weekly swings; Justin Upton comes to mind. As a result you are within shouting distance of the top tier but the holes in your lineup create a ceiling that your team cannot punch through. Here is where the owner has to determine what type of gambler you are.
I am almost always opposed to a drafting strategy that punts categories from the outset. By using that strategy you have to have everything land just perfect to win your league. Six months of perfection rarely happen in fantasy baseball and that is why I do not use that strategy very often. But at the halfway point with nothing to lose I will employ this strategy because three months of luck is easier than six. Let’s look at some of these strategies.
If you are in the mid tier you are for sure taking a 1 or 2 in a category. You have two options: load up to make a move or punt it entirely and trade off the excess. Three categories where this is common are saves, steals, and batting average. If I am at the bottom of standings in steal and I have Ichiro and Victorino then they are not helping my team. Trading them to someone who needs help in those categories allows me to shore up my power numbers or my strikeouts. Don’t fight over 2 points, concede the categories and make a 12 point run in homers and RBI plus your should get a boost in your run category.
High batting average guys like Joe Mauer are not helping me if I am getting 2 points in that category but if I parlay him to a better strikeout pitcher and low batting average catcher with power then I helping my team out immensely in multiple categories.
I am last in one of my daily leagues in saves due to closer injuries and I am also at the bottom in ERA and WHIP. What I have done is the opposite of punting categories. I can’t concede THREE categories, so as a result I am trading for as many closers as I can get. I now have six closers on my roster. They will help in all three deficient categories and since it is a daily league I rotate my five starters as they pitch to keep up in Ks and wins. It is a risky strategy but I am in 7th place, I have to do something!
Finally, if you are in the bottom tier of your standings you do have some options to keep you interested in your fantasy teams. If you are unsure if you still have a chance I will quote a theory from my friend Johnny Archive. He calls it the Firecracker 540 rule. If on July 4th, you are 5 spots out of the money and/or 40 points behind in the standings you have to start looking out for next year. I feel that theory is a great rule of thumb.
If you are in this position I hope you are in a keeper league. If you are not then you still have an obligation to complete the league and stay competitive. Take two minutes out of your day to check the standings and make a free agent claim, answer trade offers in a timely fashion, move injury players to the IR slot, and keep up with the September call ups. Too many owners bag the season once football starts and miss out on preparing for the next season. Also if you just quit you risk the chance of not being asked back to the league.
If you are in a keeper league you want to offer trades to league leaders that help them to win this year and help you prepare to dominate next year. The second place team has Hanley Ramirez but can make up a huge amount of points in wins. You offer him Zambrano, Dice K, and Hardy for Hanley. He has to look at it because he is in it to win it. As an owner you want to bring back the 5 best players you can for next year. Trade as many spare parts as you can to get those players.
Fantasy baseball is fun and I love playing it but let’s face it, it is a six month grinding season that takes commitment no matter where you are in the standings. By using these tips you can still have fun and be part of the pennant stretch.



4 responses so far ↓
1 Chris Mulligan // Jul 14, 2008 at 1:11 pm
Rhett,
Great article man. I recentley wrote similar articles on mid season team evaluations and how to improve a dead last team.
Quick question. I’m in 4th place in an NL only league but I’m 17 points behind the guy in 1st. I’m dead last in HR and 2nd to last in RBI but I’m 2nd in ERA, 4th in WHIP, and 1st in S. Do you think I should trade Peavy for a couple of hitters or trade one of my top closers like Brad Lidge for a big bat or a couple good ones?
2 Rhett Oldham // Jul 14, 2008 at 3:12 pm
Chris,
Thanks for reading the article and if you would email me the link to your story so I can see what advise you give.
As far as your 4th place team I would look at it like this. What tier are you in home runs and RBI now and what is the realistic max points you can get in those two catagories. Same thing with the closers, how far up are you and far can you fall. Closers usually achieve a pretty good premium so that would be an avenue to take especially with all the bullpens in flux right now.
Peavy is a great chip to trade but more importantly, a great anchor to your staff so I would have to get a top 3 rounder or two good players when trading him. I just traded him in one league for Pat Burrell and Joe Nathan as an example.
Thanks for the comment and let me know how things work out
3 Chris Mulligan // Jul 21, 2008 at 1:10 pm
Hey Rhett you can check out my work at http://www.behindtheplatefantasy.com
I made a move with Peavy and I think I did pretty good. I got Derrek Lee, Matt Kemp, and Ted Lilly for Peavy and Jorge Cantu. I’ve filled a hole in the OF and got a great NL 1B. I’ve also got a pretty good pitcher in return and a high K guy.
I’ve got 4 guys ahead of me in HR by 12 at the most. I’m first in S by 12 and I got a little bit of a gift recently with Saito going down and Broxton becoming a closer. Now I’ve got four closers while most guys have one or two. I’ve got Brad Lidge, Jose Valverde, S. Torres, and Broxton to work with. I’m going to deal one of them for a SP to replace Peavy. Which one of these four guys would you deal?
Keep up the good work.
Chris M.
4 Rhett Oldham // Jul 21, 2008 at 3:02 pm
Chris,
Two parts to this deal. I hate that you had to give up Cantu in the deal. I have him in two leagues and really feel like he will put up good numbers the rest of the way but as they say, “You have to give up someting to get something” and that you did.
I am big on Matt kemp to have a HR outburst in the second half so I like that move and Derrick Lee is a Top 5 Fantasy 1B in my book. You obviously took a hit on your pitching but since you were so strong to start with I feel that you made a good move.
As for closers I would deal Valverde since his peripherials are high which is a case of concern but his saves and Ks are attractive. Put Lilly and him together and target an upper tier pitcher. I am big on Chad Billingsley and Zach Grienke in the second half but you can get more than them in a package like that. NOTE: Stay away from James Shields, road split is over 6.00 ERA
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